28 April, 2013

Crowds in political rally does not always transform into votes

I often wonder why the opposition party's rally crowd is larger than ruling party
I mean, opposition party does not offer food and drinks for free
As opposed to the ruling party who offer free food, drinks, transport even freebies
Even so, the ruling party may not always get their desire crowd, sometimes failed miserably

How can this happened?  It has a lot to do with human nature as we often see
What is the difference between opposition and ruling party's rally?
The ruling party often times talks about their achievements which its consider boring to many
The opposition party often times hit the ruling party under the belly

Human nature in general loves to hear gossip or anything that is hardcore juicy
The opposition party digs out anything that is dirty and sleazy
Which keeps the crowd entertain without an admission fee
Meaning to say, its almost like a talk show we watch in TV

As the crowd started to roll in, the opposition leaders will be hailing their slogans profusely
Then, they will ask the crowd to chant their slogans together until it becomes lively
As the momentum catches up, speeches becomes fiery
In the end, many of them who listens to it becomes angry

They will start telling their friends and family
That the government is untrustworthy
As people started talking and the news will spread widely
That is exactly what the opposition leaders want, free publicity

Nevertheless, there are also voters who listens to both sides of the stories
This group of people may or may not talk openly
Some will even sing together with the majority
While some will keep to themselves and vote quietly

There may be 50,000 eligible voters in a constituency
If there are 5,000 people (all eligible voters) who showed up during rally, its only the minority
Hence, it cannot be concluded as a "win" since decision can swing if voters are unhappy
As such, the outcome of crowds to votes may turn out differently

It has already proven in the course of history
Politics is an unpredictable journey
In 2008, nobody would expect Pakatan to crunch such a great victory
Hence, the slogan "Ini Kali....lah, UBAH" may or may not materialize eventually

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